Preparation Is Key For Emergency Survival

For many years now I have been an advocate of a state of preparedness for unexpected emergencies.  Perhaps more than ever now, as we enter the third decade of the 21st century, such preparedness is something I personally consider to be an essential survival mechanism.  Not that being prepared, even to the extreme level taken by some – mostly Americans – is any guarantee of a safe passage through even the most rudimentary of disasters.  There is no guarantee of such and, as much as anything, that would be down to a large slice of luck.  But you can extend your ‘luck’ by judicial preparation.  And as this article from The Conversation (Australian version) says, that is a pretty rational way to look at things. 

“Stocking up to prepare for a crisis isn’t ‘panic buying’. It’s actually a pretty rational choice” – The Conversation

From a state of occasionally empty supermarket shelves to one of no more supermarket deliveries, ever, one day, and perhaps not too far away, you are going to wish you had done something about that. 

Note also the link in that article to Australia’s ABC ‘Survival Kit’ page.  It’s pretty basic and has not been updated in 5 years, but better than nothing.

Australians in general have a distaste for ‘panic buying’ and those who indulge in such activity. That is not a rational reaction and is born from two things. One is fear. Fear that they will be left without necessities as a result. The other is incapacity. An incapacity, due to living on the edge of lifestyle insolvency – a situation for which they feel no need to take responsibility to adjust – and an incapacity to actually make the temporarily additional purchases toward building an emergency kit. Even though, once built, such a kit would assuage the effects of both those things, and in addition provide a degree of comfort that possession of such even minor preparation secures. Both those conditions arise from the singularly false expectations that all needs will be provided for in a stable world. The world we are entering now will prove to be many things, but ‘stable’ is not on the list possibilities.

'Swings and Roundabouts' – Planned, I'm Sure.

It’s a game of ‘swings and roundabouts’ – planned, I’m sure.

The latest from Idlib shows that Syrian forces, with complete air supremacy across the region, have forced the collapse of terrorist defences across southern Idlib and are advancing on a number of salients towards the M4 highway – including taking the towns of Kafr Nubl and Hass which I incorrectly mentioned on Sunday.  This is a mostly mountainous region that has eluded the Syrian forces previously – but its time has come.

These gains come at a cost – perhaps a planned cost – keeping the Turkish forces and most regional militants – who must now be feeling the effects of their earlier losses in manpower and equipment and from the continual bombing and air attacks by both Russian and Syrian forces – busy further north and giving the Syrian ground troops free reign to take the whole of Southern Idlib from them – a task that should be accomplished within a few days. 

The terrorists, backed directly by Turkey, have made some inroads into the town of al-Nayrab west of Saraqib – recently taken from them by the Syrian forces.  Reports differ as to how much of the town is in terrorist hands but it is less than an hour drive along the M5 to that area from either north or south, so I’m sure that as soon as relieving Syrian forces can be gathered, the area will be recovered for the government.  Terrorist forces are now too weak to retain it for long and Turkey does not really have any heart in this matter – even though it is willing to commit mountains of military gear to the cause.  I feel that Syria still has the upper hand in this and will not rest until all of Idlib has been cleared of the NATO backed scum that remains there for now.  

There are, incidentally, no real civilians remaining in this region.  They have all left either via government secured corridors to safe areas or to the Turkish border where they will presumably be fed into refugee streams towards Europe    Which I expect is why the leaders of both France and Germany want talks with Russia about the matter.  Russia must hold strong and deny any attempt at cease-fire talk.  Both France and Germany have what is coming to them as joint instigators of the Syrian conflict.  I have no sympathy for either of those nations.

I don’t have images to share today but there are maps in the links below – as up to date as possible in this fast changing environment.

“TURKISH-LED FORCES ARE FLEEING FROM SOUTHERN IDLIB. KAFR NUBL IS IN HANDS OF SYRIAN ARMY (MAP UPDATE)” – Southfront

“ERDOGAN FORCES RECAPTURED NAYRAB, BUT LOST ANOTHER DOZEN OF VILLAGES TO SYRIAN ARMY” – Southfront

Added after publication:

I just found this, which has some bearing on the story – and a picture, which seems to have little relevance – but, hey, it’s a picture.

“Talk about truce with terrorists in Idlib means surrender — Lavrov” – TASS

NATO Operates 'Sharing Economy' With al-Qaeda Terrorists And Other Undesirables

Admitted in theSouthfront report linked below, the Turkish military (part of NATO), shares operational war rooms with, and generally operates alongside, the al-Qaeda affiliated and other terrorist groups operating in Syria’s Idlib province against the legitimate government armed forces of Syria.

Having agreed (or not) on their joint plans for the day, the terrorists – obviously being quicker off the mark than the Turkish soldiers – simply walk up and jump in any Turkish military vehicle left lying around, taking their pick of battle tanks and armoured personnel carriers – and, I suppose, artillery too.

Can you believe that?  Ha-ha-ha-ha-ha-ha-hah! I can’t get the smile off my face.  What a laugh.  What a joke.  What a crazy military outfit?

This admission goes some way to answering why on the few occasions we have seen Turkish troops in fighting trim in Idlib, they have been of foot.  Also why Turkey needs to bring fresh convoys of vehicles into Idlib every night – the terrorists keep losing them.

Turkey may be running out of its older US tanks now because there are reports of Leopard 2 tanks being sent to the border area.  Although those beauties may be a bit too high-tech for the terrorist mind bred on old soviet era and US gear.

This admission of working alongside terrorist groups by NATO, which we know has been general practice for many years in the Middle East, may give Australia cause to claim that it was ISIS pilots who were flying the Australian F18s back in September 2017 that killed up to 80 Syrian soldiers who were engaged in attacking an ISIS position near Deir Ezzor, allowing the head-choppers to overcome the attackers and control the area.  I will never allow that foul deed to be forgotten – whoever it was.

And of course we also know who owns the black helicopters frequently, and openly, seen transporting armed ISIS militants from one area to another all across that region of the world. 

TURKEY DOESN’T SUPPLY MILITANTS WITH EQUIPMENT, THEY JUST “JUMP IN” – Southfront

Shameful, isn’t it?

Listen, You Dimwitted, Delusional, US Political Class Twats

Please allow me to give my own rendition (in the purest form of that word) of what Russia should be saying to the US but would never stoop to using the sort of language that I am prepared to use.  See the TASS report below for what they actually say.  

Listen, you dim-witted, delusional, US political class Twats –  Russia did not, has not, is not and will not, meddle in any way in your insipid, barely functional, notoriously dishonest, deceitful and outrageously dishonourable domestic affairs.  Why would they?  Why would anyone want to disturb the ongoing deterioration and decay endemic to your so-called ‘democracy’?  The world is happy to just sit and watch you determinedly destroy yourselves.

Please take this as official denunciation of and notification that your delusions of any form of Russian interest whatsoever in what you do to yourselves behind closed doors are totally unfounded.

It is realised that you are probably totally incapable of understanding a message of this complexity, so please arrange to have it explained to you in very simple words – if in fact you can stop your childish infighting for long enough to listen.

“Russia strictly observes principle of non-interference into US domestic affairs — official” – TASS

Syrian Advance Continues In Idlib

The Syrian army has continued its advance yesterday all along the eastern Idlib front south of the M4.  Their intention is to obviously close off that whole region to terrorists and make the Turkish positions untenable there by controlling that major roadway.

In this regard they are totally ignoring the presence of Turkish forces in the area, which must be of some embarrassment to Turkish president Erdogan – having vociferously threatened to drive the Syrians back to where they started.  He, of course, has no hope of doing that.  In fact Turkish casualties are mounting in the process and have now reached at least 30 dead.  The Turks are apparently building a third line of ‘observation points’, though I fail to understand why.  The first two lines have more or less already been neutralised and remain within Syrian government controlled areas – observing what?  How successful the Syrian army is?

Meanwhile the terrorists continue to use Turkish weapons and armour – equally ineffectively and with massive losses in manpower.  Why do they continue?  Well, put simply, they have nowhere else to go – except maybe Libya, as mercenaries – or Europe, as refugees. 

“SYRIAN ARMY IS ADVANCING ON KAFR NUBL IN SOUTHERN IDLIB (MAP UPDATE)” – Southfront

“13 TURKISH SOLDIERS WERE KILLED IN AIRSTRIKE IN SOUTHERN IDLIB: REPORTS” – Southfront

Free Internet For All?

Taking a welcome break from war reports, here is an interesting story.

The British, who are very happy to originate their own bare-faced lies about Russia (think Skripal, just as an example) or perpetuate the bare-faced lies of others (think anything to do with NATO’s Russophobia, just as an example), but are very grateful (or perhaps that is crediting them with too much humanity) to use the services of Russia (just as their loony mates across the Atlantic are) to launch anything they want to reach near-earth orbit in space. 

Over 30 OneWeb satellites delivered from Florida to Baikonur spaceport – TASS

They, also like their mates across the big water, have neither the capacity nor the wherewithal to do that sort of thing for themselves.  That is kind of ironic, don’t you think?

They can think big, I will give them that.  But, think as hard as they like, they will never be able to do what Russia can do right now.   I can say that quite authoritatively about both those Western states because both of their economies are literally junk and about to collapse.  Meaning they, both of them, at some time before 2030 and probably this year, will not have two cents or two pence to rub together to produce anything.

So, hopefully, as a parting gesture to modern technology, they can produce the remaining 500 or so internet satellites for Russia to launch before that happens – providing the rest of the world with free internet for as long as it lasts.

We might just forgive them some of their many other misdemeanours if they can leave us with that legacy, before they sink into obscurity and are forever forgotten.

I had better stop there (and wipe the smile off my face) before I get too carried away with dreams of a better world without troublemakers.  Forget what I said, just read the TASS article.

“Over 30 OneWeb satellites delivered from Florida to Baikonur spaceport” – TASS

Syrian Idlib Offensive

Well, it seems someone got a little ahead of themselves yesterday.  Yes, a new Syrian offensive has opened in southern and eastern Idlib and a number of towns have been liberated from terrorist control, but not the ones I mentioned yesterday.  It is just a matter of time though.  

I usually try to be careful where I source my information – generally ignoring the comment area of online posts, but this one slipped through my net.  It was backed by obviously mischievous Twitter posts.  Sorry about that.  I won’t let it happen again.  You wouldn’t want to have been in those towns yesterday though. They received a whole lot of incoming munitions to soften them up for attack in due course.

But the true picture is no less dramatic.  The SAA is advancing on several fronts and this linked article gives only a localised view of one area.  It seems the Syrian army has moved much of its forces from up north to concentrate efforts in this region – all courtesy of the newly liberated M5 highway – much easier to quickly relocate troops now.

“SYRIAN ARMY KICKS OFF NEW GROUND OFFENSIVE IN SOUTHERN IDLIB, LIBERATES TWO TOWNS” – Southfront

Meanwhile, the Russian Aerospace Forces aircraft have indirectly attacked a Turkish military column moving into southern Idlib, forcing it to retreat.  Well, they were previously warned to stop interfering.

“RUSSIAN AIRSTRIKES POUND TURKISH CONVOY IN SOUTHERN IDLIB (VIDEOS)” – Southfront

This report too of Russian airstrikes in support of the new Syrian offensive.
“RUSSIAN AIRSTRIKES TARGET SURROUNDINGS OF TURKISH POSTS IN SOUTHERN IDLIB, NORTHWEST HAMA” – Southfront

Syrian gains further south are seen in the image below (flag icons), mapped from Syria.liveuamap. The two towns I mentioned yesterday are covered by the two biggest clusters of bomb icons. It is easy to see where the SAA is headed. The M4 highway is just off map to the north.

Syrian Army Takes The Initiative

Well, it looks like the Syrian army is not waiting for another Turkish move, they are on the advance from southern Idlib towards the M4 to flank the Turkish troops and have already made gains in Hass and Kafr Nbel or Nubul (as usual, you can spell these little known place names any number of different ways).

.“SYRIAN ARMY DEPLOYS FRESH REINFORCEMENTS IN IDLIB, PREPARES FOR POSSIBLE OPERATION (VIDEO)” – Southfront (the title is a little behind the times)

Not mentioned in this report, the army is on the march from due east of Aribah towards the M4 with the objective to meet the southern advance at Urum al-Jawz on the M4 to the west of Arihah.  There is not a power on earth that can stop them.

All this being carried out under the umbrella of massive bombing by the Russian and Syrian air forces, who control the skies over Syria.  In a separate report, Syria has warned that any foreign military aircraft that enters Syrian airspace will be destroyed.  It is carnage out there.  Huge numbers of terrorist dead, including many Turkish troops who are obviously working with the jihadis.  Erdogan’s dreams are being torn apart. There is an 18+ link to ANNA in the comment stream of this report, with graphic, unedited, images of a great many terrorist/Turkey dead. Seek it out at your own risk. I will include a less graphic but still disturbing ANNA video, below, which brings home the horrors of war. Let’s not forget that, while forever condemning those that have made this particular conflict, sitting comfortably at home in a far off land.

Turkey, All Alone In The Red Corner

“TURKEY’S STRATEGY IS PUSHING IT INTO A CORNER” – Southfront

I could keep on commenting about the war in Syria, though something of an impasse has been reached pending the next move by Erdogan’s Turkey – so there is not much point in doing that for the time being – unless something dramatic happens.

What is important though is to reassess what is actually happening and why.

I believe that this assessment by Southfront goes a long way towards addressing that – thankfully, relieving myself of the need to do so. It is worth reading and there is nothing in it that I would want to take issue with.

Sword of Damocles, Hovering

So, Turkish leader Erdogan has made his play. Attacking the Syrian held town of al-Nayrab on the M4 west of Saraqib. Of course he made his attack from behind what is left of the combined terrorist forces remaining in Idlib, having armed those terrorists with armoured vehicles including tanks and US howitzers directly from their own local outposts. All to no avail.

The attack was repulsed with what is described as ‘catastrophic casualties’ to the terrorist hordes. Russian Su-24 close support aircraft destroyed many of the ‘borrowed’ Turkish war vehicles and some of the terrorists usual ‘technicals’. Turkish casualties are also reported from a nearby ‘observation post’ bombed by the Russian and Syrian air elements as it was the source of Turkish artillery fire on Syrian positions.

Altogether a crushing blow to the terrorists, who would in any case have been eliminated by Syrian ground forces in days to come. There may not be enough of them left to make a similar sortie.

By provoking Turkish military deaths I suppose Erdogan is hoping that NATO will now be joining his efforts. If so, he is hoping in vain.

In 10 days time (March 1) his ultimatum to Syria to recede from all the land they have retaken since December 25, or face a Turkish military conflict, will expire. So he has that time left to reconsider his threats. President Putin has already warned him not to go ahead with that. So, for the next 10 days, a Sword of Damocles hangs over the heads of all in the Middle East – and, by extension, the rest of us. It could be the start of something really too big to comprehend. 

What do I think? For what it is worth, I don’t think Erdogan has any choice but to go ahead. His personal position depends on a victory there. But I think if he does do that his forces will be broken and it will be the end for him anyway. The big question is whether such an outcome will expand the conflict to take in the whole world. Without giving reasons, I would say not. The stakes are too high, even for aggressive US appetites. 

“SYRIAN ARMY REPELLED AL-NAYRAB ATTACK, RUSSIAN WARPLANES PROVIDED SUPPORT” – Southfront

“TURKEY SUPPLIED ITS PROXIES IN GREATER IDLIB WITH U.S.-MADE HEAVY HOWITZERS (VIDEO)” – Southfront

“TURKISH SERVICE MEMBERS KILLED, INJURED IN SYRIA’S GREATER IDLIB: TURKISH DEFENSE MINISTRY” – Southfront

“Russia’s Su-24 bombers strike terrorists in Syria’s Idlib” – TASS