‘Swings and Roundabouts’ – Planned, I’m Sure.

It’s a game of ‘swings and roundabouts’ – planned, I’m sure.

The latest from Idlib shows that Syrian forces, with complete air supremacy across the region, have forced the collapse of terrorist defences across southern Idlib and are advancing on a number of salients towards the M4 highway – including taking the towns of Kafr Nubl and Hass which I incorrectly mentioned on Sunday.  This is a mostly mountainous region that has eluded the Syrian forces previously – but its time has come.

These gains come at a cost – perhaps a planned cost – keeping the Turkish forces and most regional militants – who must now be feeling the effects of their earlier losses in manpower and equipment and from the continual bombing and air attacks by both Russian and Syrian forces – busy further north and giving the Syrian ground troops free reign to take the whole of Southern Idlib from them – a task that should be accomplished within a few days. 

The terrorists, backed directly by Turkey, have made some inroads into the town of al-Nayrab west of Saraqib – recently taken from them by the Syrian forces.  Reports differ as to how much of the town is in terrorist hands but it is less than an hour drive along the M5 to that area from either north or south, so I’m sure that as soon as relieving Syrian forces can be gathered, the area will be recovered for the government.  Terrorist forces are now too weak to retain it for long and Turkey does not really have any heart in this matter – even though it is willing to commit mountains of military gear to the cause.  I feel that Syria still has the upper hand in this and will not rest until all of Idlib has been cleared of the NATO backed scum that remains there for now.  

There are, incidentally, no real civilians remaining in this region.  They have all left either via government secured corridors to safe areas or to the Turkish border where they will presumably be fed into refugee streams towards Europe    Which I expect is why the leaders of both France and Germany want talks with Russia about the matter.  Russia must hold strong and deny any attempt at cease-fire talk.  Both France and Germany have what is coming to them as joint instigators of the Syrian conflict.  I have no sympathy for either of those nations.

I don’t have images to share today but there are maps in the links below – as up to date as possible in this fast changing environment.

“TURKISH-LED FORCES ARE FLEEING FROM SOUTHERN IDLIB. KAFR NUBL IS IN HANDS OF SYRIAN ARMY (MAP UPDATE)” – Southfront

“ERDOGAN FORCES RECAPTURED NAYRAB, BUT LOST ANOTHER DOZEN OF VILLAGES TO SYRIAN ARMY” – Southfront

Added after publication:

I just found this, which has some bearing on the story – and a picture, which seems to have little relevance – but, hey, it’s a picture.

“Talk about truce with terrorists in Idlib means surrender — Lavrov” – TASS

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