‘Fanaticism’. A word that is not out of place in many settings around the world today (there must be something in the air), and a word when used as a just descriptor of the state of mind or attitude of a political party, does not bode well for the prospects of that party’s fitness to be the leader of a legislative house or congress of the people, nor indeed to produce a fit and proper presidential contender within the next 12 months.
That’s just my thoughts of course, having read Jim’s piece (which hopefully you have also done), and since I have no part or place in the doings and machinations of the US political system, it is unlikely to matter one way or another how all that eventuates – if it actually does eventuate, and is not overtaken by much more urgent matters requiring overriding attention.
I’m sure it, whatever ‘it’ is, and the lead-up to ‘it’ will be fun to watch though – from a distance.
“The only role that Russia, Iran and Turkey, as well as other nations, are expected to play in the Syrian peace process is to prevent any outside attempt to disrupt political settlement.” – TASS
That is not an unimportant role. In fact it is a vital role. No doubt there will be attempts made to interfere in the process, either overtly or covertly by states with dubious ethics and interests who have otherwise been effectively (and fortuitously) shut out of the process.
There is also no necessity for the political settlement process to disrupt the current scheduled Syrian election process, which is:
“Syria’s parliamentary elections occur every four years, with the last in 2016 (corrected), while presidential elections are done every seven years, with the last in 2014. The current parliamentary term ends in 2020, which is consequently the planned date for the next parliamentary election.” – Wikipedia
…and the next presidential election is due in 2021. Again no need to alter that.
I have chosen not to comment on events occurring in Syria for a while, there being far too much speculation, guesswork, and general lack of clarity on what has devolved into something I would describe as a chaotic situation – thanks mainly to the vagaries of American policy and its inability to reliably walk a straight line on anything.
I have chosen the background of an uncontestable event (with pictures) to make this announcement. The opening of a floating bridge across the Euphrates, as a temporary crossing to replace the ones earlier destroyed by the US and as a unifying act to rejoin all Syrians under their legitimate government.
…and subtitled – “If Ukraine’s demands to change the ‘Steinmeier formula’ fail to find support, the split between Donbass and Ukraine will intensify”.
Waiver of Donbass? Whatever can that mean? Let me explain…
Back in September 2014, while there were still battles raging between the Ukrainian army and the what were then called the ‘separatists’ of the Donbass region, quite deliberately and erroneously termed an invasion of ‘Russian forces’ by Western media and governments, I wrote a piece here titled “I Heard On The News Tonight…” in which I said, among other things centred on that conflict:
“The truth is, that no ceasefire will be made until Ukrainian forces have been driven out of the lands of the new Republic in the South East of Ukraine and its sovereignty and borders established and recognised.”
And that is quite true in the respect that there has been no actual ceasefire during all the years since that time, due largely to the lack of control, deliberately or otherwise, exercised by the Kiev government on its right wing militias, posing as a legitimate army.
At the time I wrote that of course the two new self-declared republics of the Donetsk and Luhansk areas of the Donbass region had not properly formed or named themselves. They have done that now and also have set up all the appropriate institutions of government etc. which qualify them as being bona fide independent states. States which wisely now have little or no interest in being part of a hostile nation that would seek to crush them, like Ukraine. They don’t have much choice on that as yet, since Russia, at least while there are possibilities for the Donbass to integrate back into Ukraine, is not willing to offer them the sort of ‘return to family’ agreement that was arranged with the Crimea.
There are obvious reasons for Russian unwillingness to take that step, and while Russia continues to tread the path of obtaining ‘special status’ for Donbass within the Ukraine state – a path which I have always felt would never work or in fact become reality – along with, I believe, the same intent from the new Ukrainian president, Vladimir Zelensky, it has become clear that the Kiev government, driven also by public sentiment, has no intention, and probably has never had such intent, of granting such ‘special status’. I feel sure that Russia must know that and is probably simply talking the talk in anticipation of Kiev actually coming clean and rejecting or trying to circumvent any such agreement from taking place and making the whole situation quite impossible of resolution within the one state.
I believe we have now reached that stage. This shared article from Inforos, mentioned earlier, is perhaps the first intimations of that situation – the waiver of Donbass.
In the article, the Kiev government’s Foreign Minister, Vadim Pristayko, says – and I think he is being brutally honest about this –
“I see at least three options: trying to agree within that unfair process we’ve got into many years ago, buying time forever and a day while our soldiers are being killed and while people on the other side of the contact line grow to hate us for good and all, so that we can never get them back again, or never returning to this part of Ukraine.”
In the final paragraph of the piece the author, Anna Tereshina, says:
“Almost certainly Kiev does consider the option of giving up on the Donbass region. If Ukraine’s demands to change the Steinmeier formula fail to find support, the split between Donbass and Ukraine will only intensify. The document will come into force only if the OSCE recognizes the Donbass elections as democratic. There is no sign of this ever going to happen, since Ukrainian political parties, especially the nationalist ones, will hardly be admitted to the election. Should that be the case, the “special status” will never become operative. Apparently, this is what Kiev is reckoning on at the end of the day.”
So, what I said back in 2014 and numerous times and in different ways since then, stands as a distinct possibility or even a likelihood. Whether the Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR) and the Luhansk People’s Republic (LPR) ever get to be part of Russia, or failing that (or perhaps in preference to that, in some eyes) become truly independent states or a joint independent state under another name, remains one of a number of other geopolitical balls tossed into the air and still rising or falling to whatever fate awaits them. One thing is becoming clear. There is no ball in the air for a return of Donbass to Ukraine. That was a balloon that was popped by Ukraine itself some time ago. We just haven’t heard the bang yet. But we have already seen the pieces flying by (if we were watching).
Wow! I got through that long piece and didn’t mention the US once. Oh damn! I just did.
I didn’t share this story when I first saw it this morning but now it appears there is something about it that again reveals the underhanded way in which the US unilaterally acts without regard whatsoever as to anybody else’s rights or the exigences of international law. I’m fed up to the teeth with the US. Somebody should make them pay.
It is claimed now that an execution took place at the village of Barisha in northern Idlib during this US raid – that of Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi leader of IS (supposedly killed already several times).
Yet another US betrayal. Not that I have any sympathy for Baghdadi.
If there is any truth in this then it is just a case of the US authorities cleaning up their own dirty work to reduce chances evidence could be made against them for their support of those terrorists. They know the game is up. Expect more ‘cleansing’ operations.
I suspect the same thing is behind their aerial destruction of their previous base at the cement factory near Manbij after hurriedly leaving other of their bases in the region intact. Too much to lose if evidence was forthcoming. The US are dirty bastards. They don’t deserve to live and breathe the same air that the rest of us do. One day. One day, the world will turn on them. I can’t wait to see that.
Meanwhile I call a pox on all their houses, may their forests burn interminably, their farmlands turn to toxic dust where only unkillable weeds will grow, their waterways froth and bubble with putrescence and their cities smother under a blanket of unbreathable fog.
While “The Sound of Shoes Dropping in the Night” goes a little over my head (as JHK titles occasionally do), it goes without saying that I would share the contents of this latest Clusterfuck-nation post – given the subject matter.
I only wish I had seen it before I delivered my own previous post.
I think Mr Kunstler is quietly enjoying himself – as he deserves to do. The prospects of seeing some real justice do tend to provide a kind of warm inner glow. Mustn’t get too smug though, it is just a start.
And so it begins. What I have hoped for for so long, what JHK has talked about for even longer, the DOJ investigation into the DNC instigated DOJ investigation into what has become known as Russiagate.
Where will it lead? Well hopefully to jails filling up with top Democrats, perhaps a previous US president, certainly the Clinton gang, some past officials of the DOJ itself, and a host of spooks and chief spooks from the US intelligence community, all of whom conspired to pervert the course of justice. Potentially treasonous behaviour which must not be allowed to escape scrutiny and appropriate punishment.
I have my crackers, cheese and fruit juice (I don’t do popcorn and cola) ready for the show to begin. It is going to be epic, so hopefully there will be intervals, for replenishment and other aspects of life..
It is the only sensible, in fact the only viable way forward.
I speak of what these two important utterances convey. The current Russia-Turkey agreement on Syria.
And with the interfering US now out of the picture it has a chance of success. No other international involvement is necessary, and any other nations that still have a finger in the pie should withdraw it immediately.
A grubby NATO, already with the blood of thousands on its hands, attempts to sneak into a situation that is under control, clinging to the coat tails of others.
Why is NATO allowed to continue its morbid existence? That’s something worth investigating.
A quasi-military-political force with no enemies, continually looking for opportunities to interfere in issues for which they have no jurisdiction, in a vague and vain attempt to legitimise themselves. The world does not have time, need, or resources to spare for such fractious frivolity.